Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 369.945199 420.818039 477.700575 546.305985 627.188299 719.975900 835.142454
2025-08-03 286.911941 350.643542 428.450748 531.529617 666.150330 838.308879 1078.920000
2025-08-10 243.163094 310.849769 398.231214 521.309087 693.478388 930.842498 1292.039632
2025-08-17 221.164150 293.597602 391.635731 537.229445 753.618453 1072.897111 1598.676730
2025-08-24 198.925980 272.169026 375.158425 534.890983 784.615746 1175.022026 1863.879576
2025-08-31 179.376248 251.732922 356.817983 525.991951 802.408893 1257.307868 2111.845837
2025-09-07 166.020960 238.556091 347.134101 528.213901 836.891096 1370.986330 2438.942619
2025-09-14 151.703006 222.320069 330.743775 517.066989 846.462660 1441.878301 2700.472993
2025-09-21 141.471224 211.306241 321.201919 515.683058 872.141511 1545.431782 3051.997889
2025-09-28 128.575718 194.895107 301.276982 493.930222 857.296382 1568.301319 3235.006283
2025-10-05 124.878714 192.952397 304.915591 513.932542 923.493994 1764.016843 3864.454042
2025-10-12 122.062438 192.145058 310.265203 537.489110 1000.021828 1996.276667 4656.469583
2025-10-19 115.887570 185.330801 304.839601 540.747821 1037.161454 2153.054156 5316.259165
2025-10-26 107.716236 174.461361 291.272836 526.741587 1035.895060 2221.731459 5757.411750
2025-11-02 100.916522 165.466914 280.296037 516.564288 1041.343718 2307.579947 6281.548082
2025-11-09 98.153923 163.435269 281.976889 532.317342 1107.817888 2561.712949 7445.102855
2025-11-16 93.365101 157.349668 275.431567 530.003727 1131.584490 2709.089927 8314.050248
2025-11-23 88.227733 150.256119 266.350319 521.202845 1138.275797 2811.154360 9066.373475
2025-11-30 84.744116 146.008739 262.483375 523.400336 1172.750451 3001.309691 10256.870654
2025-12-07 80.124149 139.299376 253.182853 512.375847 1171.584441 3085.090487 11052.985947
2025-12-14 76.838671 134.944455 248.313999 511.007078 1195.828914 3254.294044 12323.597332
2025-12-21 71.823363 126.931434 235.374923 489.491428 1162.347924 3230.233506 12679.137615
2025-12-28 71.037103 127.173923 239.605633 509.275727 1246.924856 3622.752232 15364.331525